3 Sept · 15:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1611
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hnizdil
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1553
FormLLLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H30-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-23)