3 Sept · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1553
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Knazik
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1471
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rein
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H47-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-20)