3 Sept · 14:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1385
FormLLLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1528
FormLWWLL
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Matousch🌟Matousch covers set handicap as underdog 64% (50)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+143
H2H24-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+143)