3 Sept · 20:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FT
🇨🇿Filip Theodor
ELO 1423
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Molin
VM
🇨🇿Vojtech Molin
ELO 1447
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Theodor🌟Molin rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (13)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.