3 Sept · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇨🇿Dmytro Skvarskyi
ELO 1629
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skvarskyi
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1611
FormWWWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Skvarskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.