3 Sept · 17:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1459
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mandrysz
LZ
🇨🇿Lukas Zustina
ELO 1423
FormLLWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.