3 Sept · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1541
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1615
FormLWLWL
44%
56%
🌟2000 covers set handicap as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)