3 Sept · 22:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1437
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vaclahovsky
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1423
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chvojka🌟Chvojka covers set handicap as underdog 62% (40)
Fair odds · Vaclahovsky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.