3 Sept · 17:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Matej Beran
ELO 1518
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Beran
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1490
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Beran rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (37)
Fair odds · Beran
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.