3 Sept · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1541
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Trnka
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1613
FormWLWLW
44%
56%
🌟2000 covers set handicap as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Trnka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H4-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)