3 Sept · 17:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1365
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Brynych
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Brynych
ELO 1386
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
🌟Rolik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (135)
Fair odds · Brynych
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H17-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.