3 Sept · 16:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1518
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jnr
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1512
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 68% (76)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H12-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.