3 Sept · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1483
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Dohnal
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pasek
ELO 1381
FormWLWLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pasek🌟Pasek goes over total as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)