3 Sept · 17:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1661
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Niezgoda
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1666
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H29-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.