3 Sept · 21:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1423
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jemelka
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1495
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chvojka🌟Chvojka covers set handicap as underdog 62% (40)
Fair odds · Jemelka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)