3 Sept · 21:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1516
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fitl
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1496
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Vidourek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (35)
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.