3 Sept · 21:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1469
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kus
FT
🇨🇿Filip Theodor
ELO 1423
FormWWLWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Theodor🌟Kus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (41)
Fair odds · Kus
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.