3 Sept · 19:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1490
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hrncir
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hrncir
ELO 1511
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Hrncir rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (37)
Fair odds · Hrncir
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H7-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.