3 Sept · 16:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Sebek
ELO 1328
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Brynych
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Brynych
ELO 1386
FormWWLWL
45%
55%
🌟Sebek goes over total as underdog 68% (40)
Fair odds · Brynych
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)