3 Sept · 22:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1496
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hons
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1501
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
🌟Vidourek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (35)
Fair odds · Hons
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H6-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.