3 Sept · 22:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pasek
ELO 1381
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kral
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1480
FormWWLWW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pasek🌟Kral rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (62)
Fair odds · Kral
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H5-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)