Michal Lysakowski vs Mateusz Burkacki

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03 Sep · 12:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1640

3-1Final setsLysakowski won

🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki

ELO 1467

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lysakowski at 60%. The actual result was Michal Lysakowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Michal Lysakowski — profile →Mateusz Burkacki — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Michal Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.75

Favourite won

Set handicap

Michal Lysakowski −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Michal Lysakowski −1.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.2

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Lysakowski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Burkacki.

▲ Michal Lysakowskipre 57% → final 100%

Mateusz Burkacki ▼

Biggest swing 43 pts69 points · 4 games