3 Sept · 17:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1651
FormWLWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Guzy
BG
🇨🇿Blazej Gola
ELO 1433
FormLLLLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+218
H2H30-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+218)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-21)