3 Sept · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1562
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kowalewski
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kowalewski
ELO 1674
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kowalewski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H29-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-15)