4 Sept · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1540
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pokorny
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1510
FormLWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Pokorny
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H9-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.