4 Sept · 08:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1631
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skvrna
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1591
FormWWLWW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Macurak🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (130)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.