4 Sept · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1591
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Macurak
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1570
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 64% (107)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H16-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.