4 Sept · 14:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1441
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chvojka
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1444
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chvojka🌟Chvojka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (35)
Fair odds · Chvojka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.