4 Sept · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1631
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skvrna
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1571
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krupnik🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (130)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H32-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-24)