4 Sept · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1572
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1655
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H41-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-28)