4 Sept · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1454
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kindl
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1483
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cizek🌟Kindl goes over total as favourite 74% (50)
Fair odds · Kindl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.