4 Sept · 13:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fnukal
ELO 1547
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fnukal
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1540
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
🌟Fnukal goes over total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Fnukal
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.