4 Sept · 09:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1570
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1571
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krupnik🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (87)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H27-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.