4 Sept · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1572
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Nadvornik
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nadvornik
ELO 1651
FormLWWLL
44%
56%
🌟Nadvornik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (31)
Fair odds · Nadvornik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)