4 Sept · 13:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1425
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chlumsky
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Balcar
ELO 1425
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Chlumsky rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Chlumsky
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.25· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+0
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.