4 Sept · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki
ELO 1459
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gola
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1560
FormWLWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)