4 Sept · 17:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1541
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Neterda
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1508
FormLWLWW
53%
47%
🌟Neterda goes over total as favourite 64% (33)
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.