4 Sept · 15:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1608
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Chaloupka
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1568
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H34-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.