4 Sept · 16:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1533
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volny
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1514
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Baros🌟Volny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (52)
Fair odds · Volny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.