4 Sept · 16:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1541
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Neterda
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1497
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
🌟Neterda goes over total as favourite 64% (33)
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H10-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.