4 Sept · 15:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1534
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kanak
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1517
FormWWWWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Reska🌟Kanak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (46)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.