4 Sept · 17:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1342
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rolik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1379
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
🌟Rolik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (82)
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H83-91
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.