4 Sept · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1608
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chaloupka
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1555
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Skulina covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.