4 Sept · 16:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1534
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kanak
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1514
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Baros🌟Kanak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (46)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.