4 Sept · 17:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1608
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1624
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (130)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H23-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.