4 Sept · 18:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1541
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Neterda
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1522
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
🌟Neterda goes over total as favourite 64% (33)
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H11-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.