Maksim Ovcharenko vs Marcin Stepien

← TT Cup predictions

04 Sep · 13:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko

ELO 1681

3-1Final setsOvcharenko won

🇨🇿Marcin Stepien

ELO 1649

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ovcharenko at 55%. The actual result was Maksim Ovcharenko 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Maksim Ovcharenko — profile →Marcin Stepien — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Maksim Ovcharenko favoured — closing 1.55

Favourite won

Set handicap

Maksim Ovcharenko −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Maksim Ovcharenko −4.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

3.65

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksim Ovcharenko is favoured to win, below means Marcin Stepien.

▲ Maksim Ovcharenkopre 59% → final 1%

Marcin Stepien ▼

Biggest swing 74 ptsStepien recovered from 25%68 points · 4 games