5 Sept · 12:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1465
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skvor
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1438
FormLWLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Skvor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (52)
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H5-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.