5 Sept · 09:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Martin Kucera
ELO 1560
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Joksch
JJ
🇨🇿Jakub Joksch
ELO 1589
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
🌟Joksch stays under total as favourite 65% (23)
Fair odds · Joksch
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.