5 Sept · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1554
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Budik
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1473
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vodal🌟Budik goes over total as favourite 79% (57)
Fair odds · Budik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H12-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)